The Serie D Girone F sees L'Aquila take on Maceratese on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia. L'Aquila are 2nd with 25 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Maceratese sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for L'Aquila and 0.9 for Maceratese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: L'Aquila 2–0 Maceratese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
L'Aquila60%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.45
Maceratese18%fair 5.71 · @4.50
2.86Expected goals
1.91L'Aquila xG
0.94Maceratese xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: L'Aquila 1.9 – 0.9 Maceratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
L'Aquila to win
60%
1.68
1.67
Double chance
L'Aquila or draw
82%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.80
1.71
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.33
Half-time result
L'Aquila ahead at half-time
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT L'Aquila / FT L'Aquila
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
9.11
–
Form
L'Aquila
No recent results on record.
Maceratese
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between L'Aquila and Maceratese.
What is the prediction for L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
On our numbers L'Aquila have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maceratese 18%.
How many goals will there be in L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
Our predicted score is L'Aquila 2–0 Maceratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
L'Aquila vs Maceratese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chieti1
Sammaurese2
Sora2
Castelfidardo Calcio1
Ostia Mare4