Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.29
Atletico Ascoli vs Castelfidardo Calcio preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone F sees Atletico Ascoli take on Castelfidardo Calcio on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Atletico Ascoli and 0.7 for Castelfidardo Calcio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Ascoli 68%, draw 24%, Castelfidardo Calcio 8%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Ascoli to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Atletico Ascoli 2–0 Castelfidardo Calcio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Ascoli68%fair 1.46 · @1.33
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.20
Castelfidardo Calcio8%fair 12.38 · @7.80
2.80Expected goals
2.12Atletico Ascoli xG
0.68Castelfidardo Calcio xG
46%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Ascoli 2.1 – 0.7 Castelfidardo Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Ascoli to win✓
68%
1.46
1.33
Double chance
Atletico Ascoli or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Atletico Ascoli ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Ascoli / FT Atletico Ascoli✓
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.29
–
Form
Atletico Ascoli
No recent results on record.
Castelfidardo Calcio
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Ascoli and Castelfidardo Calcio.
What is the prediction for Atletico Ascoli vs Castelfidardo Calcio?
Our pick is Atletico Ascoli to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Atletico Ascoli vs Castelfidardo Calcio?
On our numbers Atletico Ascoli have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Castelfidardo Calcio 8%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Ascoli vs Castelfidardo Calcio?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Ascoli vs Castelfidardo Calcio?
Our predicted score is Atletico Ascoli 2–0 Castelfidardo Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico Ascoli vs Castelfidardo Calcio?
Atletico Ascoli vs Castelfidardo Calcio (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.