Sansepolcro vs Sporting Trestina prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Sporting Trestina to win @ 2.60 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Trestina to win ✗46% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.98
Sansepolcro vs Sporting Trestina preview and prediction
The match
Sansepolcro host Sporting Trestina in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Buitoni.
Form guide
Sansepolcro's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Montevarchi Calcio 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sporting Trestina's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Terranuova Traiana 0–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Sporting Trestina arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Sansepolcro and 1.2 for Sporting Trestina. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Sporting Trestina to win at 2.60 – 46% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sansepolcro 0–1 Sporting Trestina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sansepolcro31%fair 3.18 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Sporting Trestina46%fair 2.17 · @2.60
2.14Expected goals
0.92Sansepolcro xG
1.21Sporting Trestina xG
42%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sansepolcro 0.9 – 1.2 Sporting Trestina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Trestina to win✗
46%
2.17
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Trestina / FT Sporting Trestina✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.98
–
Form
Sansepolcro – last 6
DLLDDL
2 Apr
vs Montevarchi Calcio
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Foligno Calcio
0–2
L
25 Mar
@ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Seravezza
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Robur Siena
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sporting Trestina – last 6
DWDWWW
3 Apr
@ Terranuova Traiana
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Poggibonsi
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Orvietana Calcio
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Tau Altopascio
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Cannara
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Camaiore
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sansepolcro and Sporting Trestina.
What is the prediction for Sansepolcro vs Sporting Trestina?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sansepolcro vs Sporting Trestina?
On our numbers Sansepolcro have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting Trestina 46%.
How many goals will there be in Sansepolcro vs Sporting Trestina?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sansepolcro vs Sporting Trestina?
Our predicted score is Sansepolcro 0–1 Sporting Trestina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sansepolcro vs Sporting Trestina?
Sansepolcro vs Sporting Trestina (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Buitoni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
San Donato Tavarnelle1
Foligno Calcio0
Gavorrano0
Orvietana Calcio1
Prato1
Grosseto0