San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Donato Tavarnelle to win ✓39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.34
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio preview and prediction
The match
Foligno Calcio travel to Stadio Comunale Pianigiani in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT) to face San Donato Tavarnelle.
Form guide
San Donato Tavarnelle's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Cannara 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Foligno Calcio's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Foligno Calcio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for San Donato Tavarnelle and 1.1 for Foligno Calcio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Donato Tavarnelle 39%, draw 24%, Foligno Calcio 37%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: San Donato Tavarnelle 1–1 Foligno Calcio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Donato Tavarnelle39%fair 2.59 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Foligno Calcio37%fair 2.70 · @2.62
2.26Expected goals
1.14San Donato Tavarnelle xG
1.11Foligno Calcio xG
46%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: San Donato Tavarnelle 1.1 – 1.1 Foligno Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Donato Tavarnelle to win✓
39%
2.59
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Donato Tavarnelle / FT San Donato Tavarnelle✗
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.34
–
Form
San Donato Tavarnelle – last 6
LLLLDL
2 Apr
@ Cannara
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Robur Siena
2–3
L
22 Mar
@ Prato
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Terranuova Traiana
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Sansepolcro
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Poggibonsi
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Foligno Calcio – last 6
DWLWLL
2 Apr
@ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Sansepolcro
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Robur Siena
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Gavorrano
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Terranuova Traiana
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Poggibonsi
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Donato Tavarnelle and Foligno Calcio.
What is the prediction for San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio?
On our numbers San Donato Tavarnelle have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Foligno Calcio 37%.
How many goals will there be in San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio?
Our predicted score is San Donato Tavarnelle 1–1 Foligno Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio?
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Pianigiani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Orvietana Calcio1
Sansepolcro1
Sporting Trestina1
Grosseto0