Value bet: Rovato Vertovese to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRovato Vertovese to win ✗41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.30
Crema vs Rovato Vertovese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone D sees Crema take on Rovato Vertovese on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini.
Form guide
Crema's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Cittadella Vis Modena 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rovato Vertovese's last 4: WDDW Most recently they beat Coriano 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Crema and 1.2 for Rovato Vertovese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Rovato Vertovese to win at 2.80 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Crema 1–1 Rovato Vertovese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crema35%fair 2.86 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Rovato Vertovese41%fair 2.44 · @2.80
2.31Expected goals
1.10Crema xG
1.22Rovato Vertovese xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Crema 1.1 – 1.2 Rovato Vertovese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rovato Vertovese to win✗
41%
2.44
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rovato Vertovese / FT Rovato Vertovese✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.30
–
Form
Crema – last 3
DDW
15 Mar
vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Desenzano Calvina
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Sasso Marconi Zola
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Rovato Vertovese – last 4
WDDW
22 Mar
vs Coriano
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Trevigliese
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Progresso
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Sant'Angelo
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crema and Rovato Vertovese.
What is the prediction for Crema vs Rovato Vertovese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Crema vs Rovato Vertovese?
On our numbers Crema have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rovato Vertovese 41%.
How many goals will there be in Crema vs Rovato Vertovese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crema vs Rovato Vertovese?
Our predicted score is Crema 1–1 Rovato Vertovese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Crema vs Rovato Vertovese?
Crema vs Rovato Vertovese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Piacenza1
Imolese4
Sasso Marconi Zola0