Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPistoiese to win ✓61% · @1.60
Double chancePistoiese or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese preview and prediction
The match
Pistoiese travel to Stadio Carlo Chiesa in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 29 March (14:00 WAT) to face Sant'Angelo. Sant'Angelo are 9th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Pistoiese sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sant'Angelo's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Imolese 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Pistoiese's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Lentigione 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pistoiese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Sant'Angelo and 1.8 for Pistoiese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Pistoiese to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Sant'Angelo 0–1 Pistoiese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sant'Angelo15%fair 6.54 · @5.20
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.45
Pistoiese61%fair 1.65 · @1.60
2.51Expected goals
0.76Sant'Angelo xG
1.75Pistoiese xG
44%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sant'Angelo 0.8 – 1.8 Pistoiese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pistoiese to win✓
61%
1.65
1.60
Double chance
Pistoiese or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Pistoiese ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
Sant'Angelo – last 4
WWLL
15 Mar
vs Imolese
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Sangiuliano City
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Desenzano Calvina
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Rovato Vertovese
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pistoiese – last 3
DWW
25 Mar
@ Lentigione
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Correggese
3–0
W
18 Feb
vs Ancona
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sant'Angelo and Pistoiese.
What is the prediction for Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese?
Our pick is Pistoiese to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese?
On our numbers Sant'Angelo have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pistoiese 61%.
How many goals will there be in Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese?
Our predicted score is Sant'Angelo 0–1 Pistoiese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese?
Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Chiesa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Piacenza1
Imolese4
Rovato Vertovese0
Sasso Marconi Zola0