Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Piacenza to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLentigione to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.42
Lentigione vs Piacenza preview and prediction
The match
Piacenza travel to Immergas Stadium - Levantini in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 29 March (14:00 WAT) to face Lentigione.
Form guide
Lentigione's last 4: DDWW Most recently they drew with Pistoiese 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Piacenza's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Progresso 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Piacenza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Lentigione and 1.1 for Piacenza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Piacenza to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Lentigione 1–1 Piacenza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lentigione42%fair 2.41 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Piacenza34%fair 2.92 · @3.10
2.36Expected goals
1.25Lentigione xG
1.10Piacenza xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lentigione 1.3 – 1.1 Piacenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lentigione to win✓
42%
2.41
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lentigione / FT Lentigione✓
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.42
–
Form
Lentigione – last 4
DDWW
25 Mar
vs Pistoiese
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Correggese
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Pro Palazzolo
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Imolese
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Piacenza – last 4
WWWW
22 Mar
vs Progresso
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Correggese
3–1
W
1 Mar
vs Tuttocuoio
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sasso Marconi Zola
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lentigione and Piacenza.
What is the prediction for Lentigione vs Piacenza?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Lentigione vs Piacenza?
On our numbers Lentigione have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Piacenza 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lentigione vs Piacenza?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lentigione vs Piacenza?
Our predicted score is Lentigione 1–1 Piacenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lentigione vs Piacenza?
Lentigione vs Piacenza (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Immergas Stadium - Levantini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Imolese4
Rovato Vertovese0
Sasso Marconi Zola0