Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Milan II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMilan II to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceMilan II or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.95
Milan II vs Varesina preview and prediction
The match
Milan II host Varesina in the Serie D Girone B on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Felice Chinetti.
Form guide
Milan II's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Real Calepina 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Varesina's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Milan II and 0.7 for Varesina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Milan II 64%, draw 23%, Varesina 13%.
Safer route: Milan II or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Milan II to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Milan II or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Milan II 1–0 Varesina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Milan II64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Varesina13%fair 7.46 · @3.50
2.54Expected goals
1.83Milan II xG
0.71Varesina xG
44%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Milan II 1.8 – 0.7 Varesina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Milan II to win✗
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Milan II or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Milan II ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Milan II / FT Milan II✗
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.95
–
Form
Milan II – last 6
LDDWDW
8 Apr
@ Real Calepina
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Villa Valle
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Sondrio
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Oltrepò
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Caldiero Terme
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Varesina – last 6
WLWDDD
2 Apr
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Leon Monza e Brianza
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ USD Casatese
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Castellanzese
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Pavia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Scanzorosciate
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Milan II and Varesina.
Our pick is Milan II or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Milan II vs Varesina?
On our numbers Milan II have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Varesina 13%.
How many goals will there be in Milan II vs Varesina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Milan II vs Varesina?
Our predicted score is Milan II 1–0 Varesina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Milan II vs Varesina?
Milan II vs Varesina (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Felice Chinetti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
USD Casatese1
Pavia0
Castellanzese2