Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChievo to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceChievo or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80
Chievo vs Castellanzese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone B sees Chievo take on Castellanzese on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Sinergy Stadium.
Form guide
Chievo's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Vogherese 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Castellanzese's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to USD Casatese 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Chievo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Chievo and 0.7 for Castellanzese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Chievo to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chievo 1–0 Castellanzese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chievo64%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
Castellanzese15%fair 6.51 · @4.00
2.50Expected goals
1.79Chievo xG
0.71Castellanzese xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Chievo 1.8 – 0.7 Castellanzese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chievo to win✗
64%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Chievo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Chievo ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chievo / FT Chievo✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.80
–
Form
Chievo – last 5
WWLWL
2 Apr
vs Vogherese
4–1
W
29 Mar
@ Brusaporto
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Real Calepina
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Sondrio
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Folgore Caratese
1–4
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Castellanzese – last 6
LLLDWL
2 Apr
@ USD Casatese
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Scanzorosciate
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Pavia
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Varesina
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Vogherese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Brusaporto
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chievo and Castellanzese.
What is the prediction for Chievo vs Castellanzese?
Our pick is Chievo to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Chievo vs Castellanzese?
On our numbers Chievo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Castellanzese 15%.
How many goals will there be in Chievo vs Castellanzese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chievo vs Castellanzese?
Our predicted score is Chievo 1–0 Castellanzese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chievo vs Castellanzese?
Chievo vs Castellanzese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sinergy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
USD Casatese1
Pavia0
Varesina1