Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUSD Casatese to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceUSD Casatese or draw ✗88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.38
USD Casatese vs Varesina preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone B sees USD Casatese take on Varesina on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Campo Sportivo Comunale.
Form guide
USD Casatese's last 4: LDDW Most recently they lost to Sondrio 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Varesina's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Castellanzese 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for USD Casatese and 0.6 for Varesina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was USD Casatese to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: USD Casatese 1–0 Varesina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
USD Casatese65%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.35
Varesina12%fair 8.37 · @4.24
2.44Expected goals
1.80USD Casatese xG
0.64Varesina xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: USD Casatese 1.8 – 0.6 Varesina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USD Casatese to win✗
65%
1.55
1.80 ▲
Double chance
USD Casatese or draw✗
88%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.82
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.24
Half-time result
USD Casatese ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USD Casatese / FT USD Casatese✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.38
–
Form
USD Casatese – last 4
LDDW
15 Mar
@ Sondrio
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Brusaporto
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Real Calepina
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Varesina – last 3
DDD
18 Mar
vs Castellanzese
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Pavia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Scanzorosciate
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USD Casatese and Varesina.
What is the prediction for USD Casatese vs Varesina?
Our pick is USD Casatese to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win USD Casatese vs Varesina?
On our numbers USD Casatese have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Varesina 12%.
How many goals will there be in USD Casatese vs Varesina?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USD Casatese vs Varesina?
Our predicted score is USD Casatese 1–0 Varesina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is USD Casatese vs Varesina?
USD Casatese vs Varesina (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Comunale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.