Value bet: Asti to win @ 2.52 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAsti to win ✗45% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.76
Asti vs Celle Varazze preview and prediction
The match
Asti host Celle Varazze in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Vincenzo Cesin Bosia. Asti are 10th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Celle Varazze sit 18th on 4 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Asti's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Derthona 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Celle Varazze's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Sanremese 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Asti arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Asti and 1.1 for Celle Varazze. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Asti 45%, draw 22%, Celle Varazze 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Asti to win at 2.52 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Asti 1–1 Celle Varazze. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Asti45%fair 2.24 · @2.52
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.16
Celle Varazze33%fair 2.99 · @2.50
2.47Expected goals
1.35Asti xG
1.12Celle Varazze xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Asti 1.4 – 1.1 Celle Varazze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asti to win✗
45%
2.24
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.26
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Asti / FT Asti✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.76
–
Form
Asti – last 5
DLWLW
22 Mar
@ Derthona
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Città di Varese
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Sanremese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Biellese
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs NovaRomentin
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Celle Varazze – last 5
WLLLL
22 Mar
vs Sanremese
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Biellese
1–6
L
1 Mar
vs NovaRomentin
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Chisola
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Cairese
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asti and Celle Varazze.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Asti vs Celle Varazze?
On our numbers Asti have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Celle Varazze 33%.
How many goals will there be in Asti vs Celle Varazze?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asti vs Celle Varazze?
Our predicted score is Asti 1–1 Celle Varazze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Asti vs Celle Varazze?
Asti vs Celle Varazze (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Vincenzo Cesin Bosia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Città di Varese0
Cairese2
Vado1