Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Vado to win @ 1.82 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVado to win ✗60% · @1.82
Double chanceVado or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Gozzano vs Vado preview and prediction
The match
Vado travel to Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 29 March (14:00 WAT) to face Gozzano.
Form guide
Gozzano's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Città di Varese 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vado's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Valenzana 6–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Gozzano and 1.7 for Vado. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gozzano 16%, draw 23%, Vado 60%.
Safer route: Vado or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Vado to win at 1.82 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vado or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gozzano 0–1 Vado. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gozzano16%fair 6.12 · @3.85
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.35
Vado60%fair 1.66 · @1.82
2.50Expected goals
0.77Gozzano xG
1.73Vado xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Gozzano 0.8 – 1.7 Vado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vado to win✗
60%
1.66
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Vado or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vado / FT Vado✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
Gozzano – last 3
DWD
22 Mar
@ Città di Varese
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Ligorna
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Imperia
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vado – last 5
WDLDW
22 Mar
vs Valenzana
6–1
W
15 Mar
vs Ligorna
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Città di Varese
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Sestri Levante
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Club Milano
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gozzano and Vado.
Our pick is Vado or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gozzano vs Vado?
On our numbers Gozzano have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vado 60%.
How many goals will there be in Gozzano vs Vado?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gozzano vs Vado?
Our predicted score is Gozzano 0–1 Vado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gozzano vs Vado?
Gozzano vs Vado (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Città di Varese0
Cairese2