Value bet: Derthona to win @ 2.94 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCairese to win ✓38% · @2.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · fair 1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.22
Cairese vs Derthona preview and prediction
The match
Derthona travel to Stadio Cesare Brin in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 15 March (14:30 WAT) to face Cairese.
Form guide
Cairese's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Saluzzo 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Derthona's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Biellese 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Cairese and 1.1 for Derthona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cairese 38%, draw 25%, Derthona 38%.
Value angle: Derthona to win at 2.94 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 75% chance. Predicted score: Cairese 1–0 Derthona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cairese38%fair 2.64 · @2.37
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.05
Derthona38%fair 2.67 · @2.94
2.21Expected goals
1.11Cairese xG
1.10Derthona xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Cairese 1.1 – 1.1 Derthona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cairese to win✓
38%
2.64
2.37
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cairese / FT Cairese✗
20%
5.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.22
–
Form
Cairese – last 3
DLW
1 Mar
@ Saluzzo
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Sanremese
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Celle Varazze
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Derthona – last 3
LWL
1 Mar
vs Biellese
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Lavagnese
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Chisola
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cairese and Derthona.
On our numbers Cairese have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Derthona 38%.
How many goals will there be in Cairese vs Derthona?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cairese vs Derthona?
Our predicted score is Cairese 1–0 Derthona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cairese vs Derthona?
Cairese vs Derthona (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cesare Brin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vado0
Città di Varese1
NovaRomentin2
Lavagnese2