Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.06
Vado vs Ligorna preview and prediction
The match
Ligorna travel to Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 15 March (14:30 WAT) to face Vado.
Form guide
Vado's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Città di Varese 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Ligorna's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Gozzano 0–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Ligorna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Vado and 1.2 for Ligorna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vado 44%, draw 22%, Ligorna 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Vado 1–1 Ligorna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vado44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Ligorna34%fair 2.93 · @2.90
2.51Expected goals
1.36Vado xG
1.15Ligorna xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Vado 1.4 – 1.2 Ligorna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vado to win✗
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vado / FT Vado✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.06
–
Form
Vado – last 3
LDW
1 Mar
@ Città di Varese
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Sestri Levante
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Club Milano
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ligorna – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
vs Gozzano
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Club Milano
5–1
W
15 Feb
@ Città di Varese
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vado and Ligorna.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Vado vs Ligorna?
On our numbers Vado have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ligorna 34%.
How many goals will there be in Vado vs Ligorna?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vado vs Ligorna?
Our predicted score is Vado 1–1 Ligorna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vado vs Ligorna?
Vado vs Ligorna (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Città di Varese1
Cairese2
NovaRomentin2
Lavagnese2