Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Imperia to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultImperia to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.90
Lavagnese vs Imperia preview and prediction
The match
Lavagnese host Imperia in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Edoardo Riboli.
Form guide
Imperia's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Chisola 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Lavagnese and 1.2 for Imperia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Imperia to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Lavagnese 1–1 Imperia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lavagnese34%fair 2.93 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Imperia44%fair 2.29 · @2.45
2.28Expected goals
1.04Lavagnese xG
1.23Imperia xG
43%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Lavagnese 1.0 – 1.2 Imperia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Imperia to win✗
44%
2.29
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Imperia / FT Imperia✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.90
–
Form
Lavagnese – last 2
LD
22 Feb
vs Derthona
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Saluzzo
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Imperia – last 3
DDW
1 Mar
vs Chisola
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Gozzano
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Valenzana
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lavagnese and Imperia.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Lavagnese vs Imperia?
On our numbers Lavagnese have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Imperia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Lavagnese vs Imperia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lavagnese vs Imperia?
Our predicted score is Lavagnese 1–1 Imperia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lavagnese vs Imperia?
Lavagnese vs Imperia (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Edoardo Riboli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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