The Serie D Girone A sees Ligorna take on Gozzano on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna. Ligorna are 5th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Gozzano sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Ligorna and 0.7 for Gozzano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ligorna 65%, draw 20%, Gozzano 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Ligorna 1–0 Gozzano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ligorna65%fair 1.53 · @1.59
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.52
Gozzano15%fair 6.72 · @5.00
2.56Expected goals
1.85Ligorna xG
0.71Gozzano xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.8 – 0.7 Gozzano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✗
65%
1.53
1.59
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.24
Half-time result
Ligorna ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
Ligorna – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Club Milano
5–1
W
15 Feb
@ Città di Varese
3–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gozzano – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Imperia
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Gozzano.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Ligorna vs Gozzano?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gozzano 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Gozzano?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Gozzano?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Gozzano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Gozzano?
Ligorna vs Gozzano (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Club Milano1
Città di Varese1
Vado0