Value bet: Vado to win @ 1.82 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVado to win ✗61% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.18
Città di Varese vs Vado preview and prediction
The match
Città di Varese host Vado in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Franco Ossola.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Città di Varese and 1.8 for Vado. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Città di Varese 20%, draw 19%, Vado 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Vado to win at 1.82 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Città di Varese 0–2 Vado. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Città di Varese20%fair 5.05 · @3.65
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.35
Vado61%fair 1.65 · @1.82
2.69Expected goals
0.89Città di Varese xG
1.81Vado xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Città di Varese 0.9 – 1.8 Vado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vado to win✗
61%
1.65
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Half-time result
Vado ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vado / FT Vado✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.18
–
Form
Città di Varese – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ NovaRomentin
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Ligorna
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Vado – last 2
DW
22 Feb
vs Sestri Levante
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Club Milano
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Città di Varese and Vado.
What is the prediction for Città di Varese vs Vado?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Città di Varese vs Vado?
On our numbers Città di Varese have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Vado 61%.
How many goals will there be in Città di Varese vs Vado?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Città di Varese vs Vado?
Our predicted score is Città di Varese 0–2 Vado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Città di Varese vs Vado?
Città di Varese vs Vado (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Franco Ossola.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Club Milano1
Valenzana3
Ligorna0
Gozzano1
Derthona0
Biellese3