Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Leicesterfield to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultThe Bees to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.64
The Bees vs Leicesterfield preview and prediction
The match
Leicesterfield travel to KaNyamazane Stadium in the 1st Division on Sunday 10 May (14:00 WAT) to face The Bees. The Bees are 14th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Leicesterfield sit 11th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
The Bees's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Black Leopards 0–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leicesterfield's last 4: LDDL Most recently they lost to Venda FC 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
The Bees arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for The Bees and 1.0 for Leicesterfield. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: The Bees 43%, draw 23%, Leicesterfield 34%.
Value angle: Leicesterfield to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: The Bees 1–1 Leicesterfield. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
The Bees43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Leicesterfield34%fair 2.96 · @3.30
2.21Expected goals
1.19The Bees xG
1.02Leicesterfield xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: The Bees 1.2 – 1.0 Leicesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The Bees to win✓
43%
2.34
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The Bees / FT The Bees✓
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.64
–
Form
The Bees – last 5
DWWWL
21 Apr
@ Black Leopards
0–0
D
7 Apr
@ Gomora United FC
6–1
W
22 Mar
vs University of Pretoria
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Highbury
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Casric Stars
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Leicesterfield – last 4
LDDL
3 May
@ Venda FC
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Lerumo Lions
0–0
D
7 Apr
vs Hungry Lions
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Black Leopards
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between The Bees and Leicesterfield.
What is the prediction for The Bees vs Leicesterfield?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win The Bees vs Leicesterfield?
On our numbers The Bees have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leicesterfield 34%.
How many goals will there be in The Bees vs Leicesterfield?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The Bees vs Leicesterfield?
Our predicted score is The Bees 1–1 Leicesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is The Bees vs Leicesterfield?
The Bees vs Leicesterfield (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at KaNyamazane Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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