Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Lerumo Lions to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMidlands Wanderers to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.38
Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions preview and prediction
The match
The 1st Division sees Midlands Wanderers take on Lerumo Lions on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Harry Gwala Stadium. Midlands Wanderers are 13th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Lerumo Lions sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Midlands Wanderers's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Gomora United FC 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Lerumo Lions's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Leicesterfield 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Midlands Wanderers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Midlands Wanderers and 1.1 for Lerumo Lions. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Lerumo Lions to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Midlands Wanderers 1–1 Lerumo Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Midlands Wanderers38%fair 2.61 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Lerumo Lions36%fair 2.76 · @3.20
2.27Expected goals
1.16Midlands Wanderers xG
1.11Lerumo Lions xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Midlands Wanderers 1.2 – 1.1 Lerumo Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Midlands Wanderers to win✗
38%
2.61
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Midlands Wanderers / FT Midlands Wanderers✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.38
–
Form
Midlands Wanderers – last 6
DLWWDL
6 May
@ Gomora United FC
1–1
D
1 May
@ Highbury
1–3
L
21 Apr
vs Upington City
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Baroka FC
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Hungry Lions
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Cape Town City
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lerumo Lions – last 5
DLLLL
22 Apr
@ Leicesterfield
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Kruger United
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Upington City
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Cape Town City
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Venda FC
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Midlands Wanderers and Lerumo Lions.
What is the prediction for Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
On our numbers Midlands Wanderers have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lerumo Lions 36%.
How many goals will there be in Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
Our predicted score is Midlands Wanderers 1–1 Lerumo Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?
Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Harry Gwala Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Milford FC2
Baroka FC0
Kruger United1