Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCape Town City to win ✓64% · @1.40
Double chanceCape Town City or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.30
Cape Town City vs Baroka FC preview and prediction
The match
Baroka FC travel to Athlone Stadium in the 1st Division on Sunday 10 May (14:00 WAT) to face Cape Town City.
Form guide
Cape Town City's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Gomora United FC 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Baroka FC's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Casric Stars 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Cape Town City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Cape Town City and 0.7 for Baroka FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cape Town City 64%, draw 19%, Baroka FC 17%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cape Town City to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Cape Town City 1–0 Baroka FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cape Town City64%fair 1.56 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.90
Baroka FC17%fair 5.79 · @7.00
2.36Expected goals
1.68Cape Town City xG
0.68Baroka FC xG
42%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cape Town City 1.7 – 0.7 Baroka FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cape Town City to win✓
64%
1.56
1.40
Double chance
Cape Town City or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cape Town City / FT Cape Town City✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.30
–
Form
Cape Town City – last 6
WLLDWW
3 May
vs Gomora United FC
4–0
W
22 Apr
@ Kruger United
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Highbury
1–3
L
10 Mar
vs Milford FC
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Lerumo Lions
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Midlands Wanderers
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Baroka FC – last 5
LDLDL
1 May
@ Casric Stars
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Gomora United FC
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Midlands Wanderers
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Venda FC
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ University of Pretoria
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cape Town City and Baroka FC.
What is the prediction for Cape Town City vs Baroka FC?
Our pick is Cape Town City to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Cape Town City vs Baroka FC?
On our numbers Cape Town City have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Baroka FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cape Town City vs Baroka FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cape Town City vs Baroka FC?
Our predicted score is Cape Town City 1–0 Baroka FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cape Town City vs Baroka FC?
Cape Town City vs Baroka FC (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Athlone Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Milford FC2
Kruger United1