Value bet: El Mansura to win @ 2.40 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Mansura to win ✓47% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.49
Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura preview and prediction
The match
El Mansura travel to Tolip Stadium in the Second League on Thursday 23 April (14:00 WAT) to face Raya Ghazl.
Form guide
Raya Ghazl's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
El Mansura's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Tersana 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
El Mansura arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.7 for Raya Ghazl and 1.1 for El Mansura. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Raya Ghazl 27%, draw 26%, El Mansura 47%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.50.
Value angle: El Mansura to win at 2.40 – 47% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Raya Ghazl 0–1 El Mansura. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raya Ghazl27%fair 3.75 · @3.20
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.50
El Mansura47%fair 2.13 · @2.40
1.77Expected goals
0.70Raya Ghazl xG
1.07El Mansura xG
44%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–017%
1–113%
1–012%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Raya Ghazl 0.7 – 1.1 El Mansura expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Mansura to win✓
47%
2.13
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Mansura / FT El Mansura✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.49
–
Form
Raya Ghazl – last 6
LLLLDL
17 Apr
@ Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0–4
L
10 Apr
@ Tersana
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs La Viena FC
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Itesalat
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Dayrout
0–0
D
6 Mar
@ Proxy
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
El Mansura – last 6
DDDLDL
17 Apr
vs Tersana
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ La Viena FC
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Itesalat
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Dayrout
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs Proxy
0–0
D
6 Mar
@ Aswan Sc
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raya Ghazl and El Mansura.
What is the prediction for Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
On our numbers Raya Ghazl have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 26% and El Mansura 47%.
How many goals will there be in Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
Our predicted score is Raya Ghazl 0–1 El Mansura, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Tolip Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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