Value bet: Asyut Petrol to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAsyut Petrol to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.50
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Tersana vs Asyut Petrol preview and prediction
The match
Tersana host Asyut Petrol in the Second League on Thursday 23 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Mit Okba Stadium.
Form guide
Tersana's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with El Mansura 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Asyut Petrol's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to La Viena FC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Asyut Petrol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Tersana and 1.1 for Asyut Petrol. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tersana 31%, draw 27%, Asyut Petrol 43%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Asyut Petrol to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Tersana 0–1 Asyut Petrol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tersana31%fair 3.28 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.50
Asyut Petrol43%fair 2.34 · @2.50
1.90Expected goals
0.83Tersana xG
1.07Asyut Petrol xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tersana 0.8 – 1.1 Asyut Petrol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asyut Petrol to win✗
43%
2.34
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.50 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.28
–
Form
Tersana – last 6
DWLLDL
17 Apr
@ El Mansura
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Raya Ghazl
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ La Viena FC
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Itesalat
2–2
D
5 Mar
@ Dayrout
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Asyut Petrol – last 6
LWDDWD
17 Apr
vs La Viena FC
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ Itesalat
3–0
W
2 Apr
vs Dayrout
2–2
D
26 Mar
@ Proxy
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Aswan Sc
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tersana and Asyut Petrol.
What is the prediction for Tersana vs Asyut Petrol?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tersana vs Asyut Petrol?
On our numbers Tersana have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Asyut Petrol 43%.
How many goals will there be in Tersana vs Asyut Petrol?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tersana vs Asyut Petrol?
Our predicted score is Tersana 0–1 Asyut Petrol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Tersana vs Asyut Petrol?
Tersana vs Asyut Petrol (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mit Okba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Raya Ghazl1
Aswan Sc0
Olympic El Qanah1