El Dakhleya vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaladiyyat Al Mehalla to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceBaladiyyat Al Mehalla or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.86
El Dakhleya vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla preview and prediction
The match
El Dakhleya host Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Second League on Thursday 23 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Al-Dakhleya Stadium. El Dakhleya are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Baladiyyat Al Mehalla sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
El Dakhleya's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Olympic El Qanah 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Raya Ghazl 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for El Dakhleya and 1.6 for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Dakhleya 14%, draw 24%, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 62%.
Safer route: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Baladiyyat Al Mehalla or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: El Dakhleya 0–1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Dakhleya14%fair 6.98 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla62%fair 1.63 · @1.95
2.25Expected goals
0.63El Dakhleya xG
1.62Baladiyyat Al Mehalla xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: El Dakhleya 0.6 – 1.6 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to win✓
62%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baladiyyat Al Mehalla / FT Baladiyyat Al Mehalla✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.86
–
Form
El Dakhleya – last 6
WLLLDL
16 Apr
@ Olympic El Qanah
2–1
W
9 Apr
vs Masar
1–4
L
3 Apr
@ El Seka El Hadid
1–2
L
26 Mar
vs El Entag EL Harby
1–3
L
12 Mar
@ Abu Qair Semad
0–0
D
26 Feb
@ Asyut Petrol
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla – last 6
WLWLLL
17 Apr
vs Raya Ghazl
4–0
W
10 Apr
@ Olympic El Qanah
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Tersana
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Masar
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs La Viena FC
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ El Seka El Hadid
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Dakhleya and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.
What is the prediction for El Dakhleya vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
Our pick is Baladiyyat Al Mehalla or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win El Dakhleya vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
On our numbers El Dakhleya have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 62%.
How many goals will there be in El Dakhleya vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Dakhleya vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
Our predicted score is El Dakhleya 0–1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is El Dakhleya vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
El Dakhleya vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Dakhleya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Asyut Petrol1
Raya Ghazl1
Aswan Sc0
Olympic El Qanah1