Value bet: Benevento to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenevento to win ✓49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.86
Salernitana vs Benevento preview and prediction
The match
Salernitana host Benevento in the Serie C Girone C on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Stadio Arechi.
Form guide
Salernitana's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Team Altamura 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Benevento's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Cosenza 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Salernitana and 1.5 for Benevento. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Benevento to win at 2.20 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Salernitana 1–1 Benevento. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Salernitana28%fair 3.55 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Benevento49%fair 2.06 · @2.20
2.56Expected goals
1.06Salernitana xG
1.50Benevento xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Salernitana 1.1 – 1.5 Benevento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benevento to win✓
49%
2.06
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benevento / FT Benevento✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.86
–
Form
Salernitana – last 6
WWWLDL
23 Mar
vs Team Altamura
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Crotone
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Latina
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ Casertana
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Catania
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs SS Monopoli
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Benevento – last 6
DLWWWW
29 Mar
vs Cosenza
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ SS Monopoli
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Foggia
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Sorrento
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs Catania
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Potenza
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salernitana and Benevento.
What is the prediction for Salernitana vs Benevento?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Salernitana vs Benevento?
On our numbers Salernitana have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Benevento 49%.
How many goals will there be in Salernitana vs Benevento?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salernitana vs Benevento?
Our predicted score is Salernitana 1–1 Benevento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Salernitana vs Benevento?
Salernitana vs Benevento (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Arechi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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