Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Catania vs AZ Picerno preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone C sees Catania take on AZ Picerno on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Stadio Angelo Massimino. Catania are 3rd with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while AZ Picerno sit 10th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Catania's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Casarano 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AZ Picerno's last 4: DLDD Most recently they drew with SS Monopoli 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Catania arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Catania and 0.5 for AZ Picerno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Catania 71%, draw 18%, AZ Picerno 11%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Catania 1–0 AZ Picerno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Catania71%fair 1.41 · @1.28
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @4.20
AZ Picerno11%fair 9.32 · @13.00
2.43Expected goals
1.89Catania xG
0.54AZ Picerno xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Catania 1.9 – 0.5 AZ Picerno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Catania to win✗
71%
1.41
1.28
Double chance
Catania or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Catania ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Catania / FT Catania✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.00
–
Form
Catania – last 6
DWDLDW
23 Mar
vs Casarano
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Team Altamura
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Casertana
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Benevento
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Salernitana
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Giugliano
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AZ Picerno – last 4
DLDD
29 Mar
vs SS Monopoli
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Siracusa
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Trapani 1905
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Atalanta II
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Catania and AZ Picerno.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Catania vs AZ Picerno?
On our numbers Catania have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and AZ Picerno 11%.
How many goals will there be in Catania vs AZ Picerno?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catania vs AZ Picerno?
Our predicted score is Catania 1–0 AZ Picerno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Catania vs AZ Picerno?
Catania vs AZ Picerno (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Angelo Massimino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.