Pro Patria travel to Giuseppe Voltini in the Serie C Girone A on Saturday 28 March (17:30 WAT) to face Pergolettese.
Form guide
Pergolettese's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat PRO Vercelli 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Pro Patria's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Lecco 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Pergolettese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Pergolettese and 0.8 for Pro Patria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pergolettese 59%, draw 22%, Pro Patria 19%.
Safer route: Pergolettese or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pergolettese to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pergolettese 1–0 Pro Patria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pergolettese59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @2.90
Pro Patria19%fair 5.39 · @4.20
2.41Expected goals
1.64Pergolettese xG
0.77Pro Patria xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Pergolettese 1.6 – 0.8 Pro Patria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pergolettese to win
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Pergolettese or draw
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pergolettese / FT Pergolettese
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.79
–
Form
Pergolettese – last 3
WWW
3 Mar
vs PRO Vercelli
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Triestina
2–0
W
16 Feb
vs Union Brescia
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pro Patria – last 5
LLDLL
22 Mar
vs Lecco
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Lumezzane
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Ospitaletto
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Union Brescia
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Trento
0–2
L
0.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pergolettese and Pro Patria.
What is the prediction for Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
Our pick is Pergolettese to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
On our numbers Pergolettese have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pro Patria 19%.
How many goals will there be in Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
Our predicted score is Pergolettese 1–0 Pro Patria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
Pergolettese vs Pro Patria (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Triestina
Virtus Verona