Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Triestina to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTriestina to win61% · @1.85
Double chanceTriestina or draw88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.79
Triestina vs Virtus Verona preview and prediction
The match
Virtus Verona travel to Stadio Nereo Rocco in the Serie C Girone A on Saturday 28 March (17:30 WAT) to face Triestina.
Form guide
Triestina's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Trento 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Virtus Verona's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Albinoleffe 1–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Triestina and 0.7 for Virtus Verona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Triestina to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Triestina or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Triestina 1–0 Virtus Verona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Triestina61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.00
Virtus Verona12%fair 8.28 · @3.70
2.50Expected goals
1.79Triestina xG
0.71Virtus Verona xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Triestina 1.8 – 0.7 Virtus Verona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triestina to win
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Triestina or draw
88%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Triestina ahead at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triestina / FT Triestina
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.79
–
Form
Triestina – last 5
DLLLL
20 Mar
@ Trento
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs PRO Vercelli
2–3
L
3 Mar
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Pergolettese
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Novara
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Virtus Verona – last 5
LDLLD
20 Mar
vs Albinoleffe
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Renate
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs Novara
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Vicenza Virtus
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Lecco
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Triestina and Virtus Verona.
What is the prediction for Triestina vs Virtus Verona?
Our pick is Triestina or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Triestina vs Virtus Verona?
On our numbers Triestina have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Virtus Verona 12%.
How many goals will there be in Triestina vs Virtus Verona?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Triestina vs Virtus Verona?
Our predicted score is Triestina 1–0 Virtus Verona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Triestina vs Virtus Verona?
Triestina vs Virtus Verona (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nereo Rocco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lumezzane1
Albinoleffe1
Ospitaletto3
Giana Erminio2
Renate
Novara
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Arzignano Valchiampo
Alcione
PRO Vercelli
Pergolettese
Pro Patria