Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Brescia to win ✓67% · @1.30
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Union Brescia vs Pro Patria preview and prediction
The match
Pro Patria travel to Stadio Mario Rigamonti in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 22 February (17:30 WAT) to face Union Brescia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Union Brescia and 0.7 for Pro Patria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Brescia 67%, draw 19%, Pro Patria 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 52% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Union Brescia 1–0 Pro Patria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Brescia67%fair 1.49 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @4.60
Pro Patria14%fair 6.95 · @9.00
2.48Expected goals
1.82Union Brescia xG
0.66Pro Patria xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Union Brescia 1.8 – 0.7 Pro Patria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Brescia to win✓
67%
1.49
1.30
Double chance
Union Brescia or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Union Brescia ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Brescia / FT Union Brescia✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.55
–
Form
Union Brescia – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Pergolettese
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pro Patria – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Trento
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Brescia and Pro Patria.
What is the prediction for Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
On our numbers Union Brescia have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pro Patria 14%.
How many goals will there be in Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
Our predicted score is Union Brescia 1–0 Pro Patria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
Union Brescia vs Pro Patria (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
