Value bet: Ospitaletto to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArzignano Valchiampo to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.03
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone A sees Arzignano Valchiampo take on Ospitaletto on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Tommaso Dal Molin. Arzignano Valchiampo are 6th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Ospitaletto sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Arzignano Valchiampo and 1.2 for Ospitaletto. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Ospitaletto to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Ospitaletto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arzignano Valchiampo41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Ospitaletto35%fair 2.89 · @3.20
2.46Expected goals
1.30Arzignano Valchiampo xG
1.16Ospitaletto xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Arzignano Valchiampo 1.3 – 1.2 Ospitaletto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arzignano Valchiampo to win✗
41%
2.43
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arzignano Valchiampo / FT Arzignano Valchiampo✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.03
–
Form
Arzignano Valchiampo – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Albinoleffe
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ospitaletto – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Inter U23
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arzignano Valchiampo and Ospitaletto.
What is the prediction for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto?
On our numbers Arzignano Valchiampo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ospitaletto 35%.
How many goals will there be in Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto?
Our predicted score is Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Ospitaletto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto?
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tommaso Dal Molin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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