Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Lecco to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLecco to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceLecco or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80
Lecco vs Albinoleffe preview and prediction
The match
Albinoleffe travel to Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 22 February (20:30 WAT) to face Lecco. Lecco are 7th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Albinoleffe sit 9th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Lecco and 0.8 for Albinoleffe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Lecco to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lecco or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lecco 1–0 Albinoleffe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lecco55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.00
Albinoleffe18%fair 5.46 · @3.80
2.37Expected goals
1.58Lecco xG
0.80Albinoleffe xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lecco 1.6 – 0.8 Albinoleffe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Lecco or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lecco / FT Lecco✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.80
–
Form
Lecco – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Virtus Verona
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Albinoleffe – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecco and Albinoleffe.
Our pick is Lecco or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lecco vs Albinoleffe?
On our numbers Lecco have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Albinoleffe 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Albinoleffe?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Albinoleffe?
Our predicted score is Lecco 1–0 Albinoleffe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lecco vs Albinoleffe?
Lecco vs Albinoleffe (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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