Value bet: Socuéllamos to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFuenlabrada to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.13
Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees Socuéllamos take on Fuenlabrada on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Paquito Jiménez.
Form guide
Socuéllamos's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Tenerife II 0–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Fuenlabrada's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to RSD Alcalá 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Socuéllamos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Socuéllamos and 1.3 for Fuenlabrada. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Socuéllamos to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Socuéllamos 1–1 Fuenlabrada. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Socuéllamos35%fair 2.85 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Fuenlabrada43%fair 2.32 · @2.05
2.50Expected goals
1.17Socuéllamos xG
1.33Fuenlabrada xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Socuéllamos 1.2 – 1.3 Fuenlabrada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fuenlabrada to win✓
43%
2.32
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fuenlabrada / FT Fuenlabrada✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.13
–
Form
Socuéllamos – last 6
LWWLLW
5 Apr
vs Tenerife II
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Quintanar del Rey
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Navalcarnero
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ RSD Alcalá
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Elche II
2–5
L
15 Feb
vs Real Madrid III
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fuenlabrada – last 6
LLWDLD
12 Apr
vs RSD Alcalá
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Elche II
3–2
W
15 Mar
vs Getafe II
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Intercity
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Las Palmas II
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Socuéllamos and Fuenlabrada.
What is the prediction for Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada?
On our numbers Socuéllamos have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fuenlabrada 43%.
How many goals will there be in Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada?
Our predicted score is Socuéllamos 1–1 Fuenlabrada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada?
Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Paquito Jiménez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Getafe II3
Las Palmas II0
Intercity1
Quintanar del Rey2
Elche II0
Rayo Majadahonda1
Navalcarnero2
Conquense0
RSD Alcalá3
Rayo Vallecano II0
Tenerife II4
CD Coria0