RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 19 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultRSD Alcalá to win ✓66% · @1.44

Double chanceRSD Alcalá or draw ✓85% · @1.05

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.59

RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II preview and prediction

The match

Rayo Vallecano II travel to Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 19 April (11:00 WAT) to face RSD Alcalá.

Form guide

RSD Alcalá's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Fuenlabrada 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Rayo Vallecano II's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Getafe II 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.

RSD Alcalá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for RSD Alcalá and 0.8 for Rayo Vallecano II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 44%.

Betting angles

Win chances: RSD Alcalá 66%, draw 19%, Rayo Vallecano II 15%.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was RSD Alcalá to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: RSD Alcalá 1–0 Rayo Vallecano II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

RSD Alcalá66%fair 1.52 · @1.44

Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.80

Rayo Vallecano II15%fair 6.49 · @6.20

2.68Expected goals

1.91RSD Alcalá xG

0.76Rayo Vallecano II xG

44%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%

2–013%

1–110%

2–110%

3–08%

0–07%

From our goals model: RSD Alcalá 1.9 – 0.8 Rayo Vallecano II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	RSD Alcalá to win ✓	66%	1.52	1.44
Double chance	RSD Alcalá or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.05
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.95	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	–
Half-time result	RSD Alcalá ahead at half-time ✓	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT RSD Alcalá / FT RSD Alcalá ✓	41%	2.43	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	13%	7.59	–

Form

RSD Alcalá – last 6

WWWWLW

12 Apr	@ Fuenlabrada	2–0	W
5 Apr	vs Las Palmas II	2–1	W
29 Mar	@ Rayo Majadahonda	2–1	W
22 Mar	vs Navalcarnero	1–0	W
15 Mar	@ Tenerife II	0–3	L
1 Mar	vs Socuéllamos	3–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Rayo Vallecano II – last 6

LDLLLL

29 Mar	vs Getafe II	0–4	L
15 Mar	vs Orihuela	0–0	D
8 Mar	@ Colonia Moscardó	0–4	L
1 Mar	vs Tenerife II	1–4	L
22 Feb	@ Las Palmas II	0–2	L
15 Feb	vs SS Reyes	0–1	L

0.2Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Salamanca UDS	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	SS Reyes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	A Madrid III	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Real Valladolid II	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Albacete II	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Real Madrid III	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Atlético Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	0	10
13	RSD Alcalá	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Gimnástica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Atlético Paso	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Getafe II	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Real Ávila	10	2	1	7	-10	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Team

Pts

+11

-11

-1

-1

-1

-2

-4

-10

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Our pick is RSD Alcalá to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II?

On our numbers RSD Alcalá have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rayo Vallecano II 15%.

How many goals will there be in RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Our predicted score is RSD Alcalá 1–0 Rayo Vallecano II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II?

RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

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Exact outcomes