Navalcarnero vs Conquense Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 19 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultNavalcarnero to win ✓38% · @2.35

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.72

Navalcarnero vs Conquense preview and prediction

The match

Conquense travel to Estadio Municipal Mariano González in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 19 April (11:00 WAT) to face Navalcarnero. Navalcarnero are 7th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Conquense sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Navalcarnero's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Rayo Majadahonda 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Conquense's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Orihuela 2–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Conquense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Navalcarnero and 1.1 for Conquense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 46%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Navalcarnero 38%, draw 25%, Conquense 36%.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Navalcarnero 1–1 Conquense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Navalcarnero38%fair 2.61 · @2.35

Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.95

Conquense36%fair 2.75 · @2.85

2.34Expected goals

1.19Navalcarnero xG

1.15Conquense xG

46%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

1–011%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

1–28%

From our goals model: Navalcarnero 1.2 – 1.1 Conquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Navalcarnero to win ✓	38%	2.61	2.35
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.28
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.71	1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Navalcarnero / FT Navalcarnero ✓	21%	4.77	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	11%	8.72	–

Form

Navalcarnero – last 6

LLLWLW

5 Apr	vs Rayo Majadahonda	2–3	L
29 Mar	@ Quintanar del Rey	0–1	L
22 Mar	@ RSD Alcalá	0–1	L
15 Mar	vs Elche II	2–1	W
8 Mar	@ Socuéllamos	0–1	L
1 Mar	vs Real Madrid III	2–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Conquense – last 6

DWWWDW

5 Apr	@ Orihuela	2–2	D
15 Mar	vs Colonia Moscardó	3–0	W
8 Mar	@ Intercity	2–0	W
1 Mar	vs Las Palmas II	3–0	W
22 Feb	@ Getafe II	1–1	D
15 Feb	@ CD Coria	2–1	W

2.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Salamanca UDS	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	SS Reyes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	A Madrid III	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Real Valladolid II	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Albacete II	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Real Madrid III	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Atlético Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	0	10
13	RSD Alcalá	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Gimnástica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Atlético Paso	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Getafe II	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Real Ávila	10	2	1	7	-10	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Team

Pts

+11

-11

-1

-1

-1

-2

-4

-10

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

On our numbers Navalcarnero have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Conquense 36%.

How many goals will there be in Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

Our predicted score is Navalcarnero 1–1 Conquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

Navalcarnero vs Conquense (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Mariano González.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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