The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Xerez take on Recreativo Huelva on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín. Xerez are 6th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Recreativo Huelva sit 1st on 21 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Xerez's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Yeclano 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Recreativo Huelva's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Linense 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Xerez and 1.1 for Recreativo Huelva. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.30, above our fair price of 1.97, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Xerez 1–1 Recreativo Huelva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xerez31%fair 3.19 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.60
Recreativo Huelva43%fair 2.31 · @2.30
1.88Expected goals
0.83Xerez xG
1.05Recreativo Huelva xG
51%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Xerez 0.8 – 1.1 Recreativo Huelva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Recreativo Huelva to win✗
43%
2.31
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.24
–
Form
Xerez – last 3
WLD
1 Mar
vs Yeclano
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Recreativo Huelva – last 6
WDWDLD
8 Mar
@ Linense
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Tomares
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Deportiva Minera
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Águilas
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Pozoblanco
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xerez and Recreativo Huelva.
What is the prediction for Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva?
On our numbers Xerez have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Recreativo Huelva 43%.
How many goals will there be in Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva?
Our predicted score is Xerez 1–1 Recreativo Huelva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva?
Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Almería II2
Extremadura 19242
La Unión Atlético2
Deportiva Minera3
Málaga II2
Melilla1
Yeclano1
Ucam Murcia1
Lorca Deportiva1
Xerez Deportivo0
Águilas3