Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMelilla to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceMelilla or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.73
Melilla vs Antoniano preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Melilla take on Antoniano on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio Álvarez Claro.
Form guide
Antoniano's last 4: DLLL Most recently they drew with Xerez Deportivo 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Melilla and 0.6 for Antoniano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Melilla to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Melilla 1–0 Antoniano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Melilla60%fair 1.68 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.10
Antoniano15%fair 6.67 · @4.20
2.19Expected goals
1.55Melilla xG
0.63Antoniano xG
40%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Melilla 1.6 – 0.6 Antoniano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melilla to win✗
60%
1.68
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Melilla or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melilla / FT Melilla✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.73
–
Form
Melilla – last 2
LL
1 Mar
@ Ucam Murcia
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Real Jaén
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Antoniano – last 4
DLLL
1 Mar
vs Xerez Deportivo
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Extremadura 1924
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Estepona
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melilla and Antoniano.
Our pick is Melilla to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Melilla vs Antoniano?
On our numbers Melilla have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Antoniano 15%.
How many goals will there be in Melilla vs Antoniano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melilla vs Antoniano?
Our predicted score is Melilla 1–0 Antoniano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Melilla vs Antoniano?
Melilla vs Antoniano (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Álvarez Claro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.