Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUcam Murcia to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceUcam Murcia or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65
Ucam Murcia vs Melilla preview and prediction
The match
Melilla travel to Estadio de La Condomina in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 1 March (12:00 WAT) to face Ucam Murcia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Ucam Murcia and 0.6 for Melilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Ucam Murcia to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ucam Murcia 1–0 Melilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ucam Murcia63%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.10
Melilla14%fair 7.16 · @4.80
2.21Expected goals
1.61Ucam Murcia xG
0.60Melilla xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Ucam Murcia 1.6 – 0.6 Melilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win✓
63%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Ucam Murcia or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.65
–
Form
Ucam Murcia – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Estepona
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Almería II
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Melilla – last 1
L
22 Feb
vs Real Jaén
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ucam Murcia and Melilla.
What is the prediction for Ucam Murcia vs Melilla?
Our pick is Ucam Murcia to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Melilla?
On our numbers Ucam Murcia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Melilla 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ucam Murcia vs Melilla?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ucam Murcia vs Melilla?
Our predicted score is Ucam Murcia 1–0 Melilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ucam Murcia vs Melilla?
Ucam Murcia vs Melilla (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de La Condomina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.