Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultÁguilas to win ✗37% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.45
Real Jaén vs Águilas preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Real Jaén take on Águilas on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria.
Form guide
Real Jaén's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Xerez Deportivo 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Águilas's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Recreativo Huelva 0–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Real Jaén arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Real Jaén and 1.0 for Águilas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Jaén 37%, draw 26%, Águilas 37%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Real Jaén 1–1 Águilas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Jaén37%fair 2.70 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.88
Águilas37%fair 2.69 · @2.70
2.02Expected goals
1.01Real Jaén xG
1.01Águilas xG
42%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Real Jaén 1.0 – 1.0 Águilas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águilas to win✗
37%
2.69
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.45
–
Form
Real Jaén – last 3
WWW
25 Feb
@ Xerez Deportivo
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Melilla
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Deportiva Minera
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Águilas – last 3
DWW
25 Feb
vs Recreativo Huelva
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Málaga II
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ La Unión Atlético
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Jaén and Águilas.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Águilas?
On our numbers Real Jaén have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Águilas 37%.
How many goals will there be in Real Jaén vs Águilas?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Jaén vs Águilas?
Our predicted score is Real Jaén 1–1 Águilas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Real Jaén vs Águilas?
Real Jaén vs Águilas (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Antoniano0
Xerez Deportivo0
Extremadura 19243
Lorca Deportiva0
Ucam Murcia3
Melilla2
Recreativo Huelva1
Deportiva Minera0
La Unión Atlético1
Almería II0
Puente Genil1
Estepona0
Xerez1
Yeclano0