Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuente Genil to win ✓37% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.98
Puente Genil vs Estepona preview and prediction
The match
Estepona travel to Estadio Municipal Manuel Polinario in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 1 March (17:00 WAT) to face Puente Genil. Puente Genil are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Estepona sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Puente Genil and 1.1 for Estepona. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Puente Genil 1–1 Estepona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puente Genil37%fair 2.67 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Estepona37%fair 2.69 · @2.80
2.15Expected goals
1.08Puente Genil xG
1.07Estepona xG
46%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Puente Genil 1.1 – 1.1 Estepona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puente Genil to win✓
37%
2.67
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
4.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.98
–
Form
Puente Genil – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Almería II
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Xerez Deportivo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estepona – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Ucam Murcia
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puente Genil and Estepona.
What is the prediction for Puente Genil vs Estepona?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Puente Genil vs Estepona?
On our numbers Puente Genil have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Estepona 37%.
How many goals will there be in Puente Genil vs Estepona?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puente Genil vs Estepona?
Our predicted score is Puente Genil 1–1 Estepona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Puente Genil vs Estepona?
Puente Genil vs Estepona (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Manuel Polinario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Xerez Deportivo0
Extremadura 19243
Lorca Deportiva0
Ucam Murcia3
Melilla2
Deportiva Minera0
La Unión Atlético1
Almería II0
Real Jaén3
Águilas1
Yeclano0