Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗15% · fair 6.79
Sámano vs Numancia preview and prediction
The match
Numancia travel to Campo de fútbol de Sámano in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 19 April (16:00 WAT) to face Sámano.
Form guide
Sámano's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to UD Ourense 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Numancia's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Sarriana 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Numancia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.6 for Sámano and 2.1 for Numancia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sámano 11%, draw 16%, Numancia 74%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sámano 0–2 Numancia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sámano11%fair 9.32 · @17.00
Draw16%fair 6.39 · @5.50
Numancia74%fair 1.36 · @1.18
2.71Expected goals
0.61Sámano xG
2.10Numancia xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–215%
0–114%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sámano 0.6 – 2.1 Numancia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Numancia to win✓
74%
1.36
1.18
Double chance
Numancia or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Numancia ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Numancia / FT Numancia✓
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
15%
6.79
–
Form
Sámano – last 4
LLDL
22 Mar
@ UD Ourense
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Salamanca UDS
1–5
L
22 Feb
@ Real Valladolid II
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Lealtad
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Numancia – last 6
DDLWLW
29 Mar
vs Sarriana
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Coruxo
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Atlético Astorga
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Burgos Promesas
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs UD Ourense
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sámano and Numancia.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sámano vs Numancia?
On our numbers Sámano have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Numancia 74%.
How many goals will there be in Sámano vs Numancia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sámano vs Numancia?
Our predicted score is Sámano 0–2 Numancia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sámano vs Numancia?
Sámano vs Numancia (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de fútbol de Sámano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.