Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 19 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultSarriana to win44% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · fair 1.78

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.40

Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco preview and prediction

The match

Sarriana host Marino de Luanco in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal De Ribela.

Form guide

Sarriana's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Numancia 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Marino de Luanco's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Coruxo 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Sarriana and 1.0 for Marino de Luanco. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Win chances: Sarriana 44%, draw 23%, Marino de Luanco 33%.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Sarriana 1–0 Marino de Luanco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sarriana44%fair 2.26 · @2.25

Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00

Marino de Luanco33%fair 3.02 · @3.00

2.19Expected goals

1.21Sarriana xG

0.98Marino de Luanco xG

44%Both score

40%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%

1–113%

0–011%

0–111%

2–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Sarriana 1.2 – 1.0 Marino de Luanco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sarriana to win	44%	2.26	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win	77%	1.29	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	56%	1.78	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	60%	1.66	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	82%	1.22	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sarriana / FT Sarriana	23%	4.26	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	14%	7.40	–

Form

Sarriana – last 5

DWWLL

29 Mar	@ Numancia	2–2	D
15 Mar	vs Salamanca UDS	1–0	W
1 Mar	vs UD Ourense	3–1	W
22 Feb	@ Coruxo	0–1	L
15 Feb	vs Gimnástica Segoviana	1–2	L

1.4Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Marino de Luanco – last 6

WDDLDD

5 Apr	@ Coruxo	2–1	W
29 Mar	vs UD Ourense	0–0	D
15 Mar	vs Burgos Promesas	0–0	D
4 Mar	@ Gimnástica Segoviana	2–3	L
22 Feb	@ Salamanca UDS	0–0	D
15 Feb	vs Deportivo La Coruña II	0–0	D

0.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sestao River	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	Eibar II	10	6	2	2	+10	20
3	Deportivo Alavés II	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Bergantiños	10	5	3	2	+8	18
5	Compostela	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Portugalete	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Amorebieta	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Real Oviedo II	10	4	3	3	-3	15
9	Basconia	10	3	5	2	0	14
10	Ourense CF	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Gernika	10	2	6	2	+6	12
12	Racing Santander II	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Llanera	10	3	1	6	-8	10
14	Coruxo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Arosa	10	1	5	4	-6	8
16	Marino de Luanco	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Atlético Astorga	10	2	1	7	-6	7
18	Gimnástica Torrelavega	10	1	3	6	-12	6

Team

Pts

+10

+10

-3

-3

-4

-8

-4

-6

-6

-6

Gimnástica Torrelavega

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco?

On our numbers Sarriana have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marino de Luanco 33%.

How many goals will there be in Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco?

Our predicted score is Sarriana 1–0 Marino de Luanco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco?

Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal De Ribela.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Sarriana