Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNumancia to win ✗64% · @1.42
Double chanceNumancia or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.39
Numancia vs Sarriana preview and prediction
The match
Sarriana travel to Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 29 March (16:00 WAT) to face Numancia.
Form guide
Numancia's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Coruxo 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sarriana's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Salamanca UDS 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Numancia and 0.7 for Sarriana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 41%.
Our pre-match pick was Numancia to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Numancia 1–0 Sarriana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Numancia64%fair 1.57 · @1.42
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.75
Sarriana14%fair 7.38 · @7.00
2.42Expected goals
1.76Numancia xG
0.66Sarriana xG
41%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Numancia 1.8 – 0.7 Sarriana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Numancia to win✗
64%
1.57
1.42
Double chance
Numancia or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Numancia ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Numancia / FT Numancia✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.39
–
Form
Numancia – last 5
DLWLW
22 Mar
@ Coruxo
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Atlético Astorga
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Burgos Promesas
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs UD Ourense
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Sarriana – last 4
WWLL
15 Mar
vs Salamanca UDS
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs UD Ourense
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Coruxo
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Numancia and Sarriana.
Our pick is Numancia to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Numancia vs Sarriana?
On our numbers Numancia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarriana 14%.
How many goals will there be in Numancia vs Sarriana?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Numancia vs Sarriana?
Our predicted score is Numancia 1–0 Sarriana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Numancia vs Sarriana?
Numancia vs Sarriana (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Racing Santander II1
Real Oviedo II0
Bergantiños0
Coruxo1
Deportivo La Coruña II3
Atlético Astorga0
Gimnástica Segoviana1
Real Valladolid II2
Lealtad0
Burgos Promesas2
Marino de Luanco0
UD Ourense0