Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Athletic Club II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthletic Club II to win58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.34
Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF preview and prediction
The match
Ourense CF travel to Lezama Facilities in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 3 May (15:00 WAT) to face Athletic Club II.
Form guide
Athletic Club II's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Racing Ferrol 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ourense CF's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Real Madrid II 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Athletic Club II and 0.8 for Ourense CF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Athletic Club II 58%, draw 20%, Ourense CF 22%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Athletic Club II to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Athletic Club II 1–1 Ourense CF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athletic Club II58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.35
Ourense CF22%fair 4.53 · @3.80
2.24Expected goals
1.49Athletic Club II xG
0.76Ourense CF xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Athletic Club II 1.5 – 0.8 Ourense CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club II to win
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
2.00
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club II / FT Athletic Club II
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.34
–
Form
Athletic Club II – last 6
LLLDWD
19 Apr
vs Racing Ferrol
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Cacereño
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Mérida AD
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Osasuna II
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ourense CF – last 5
DLDLL
14 Apr
@ Real Madrid II
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Real Avilés
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Barakaldo
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Guadalajara
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club II and Ourense CF.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF?
On our numbers Athletic Club II have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ourense CF 22%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club II 1–1 Ourense CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF?
Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lezama Facilities.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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