Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.59
Cacereño vs Lugo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 1 sees Cacereño take on Lugo on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Principe Felipe. Cacereño are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Lugo sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lugo's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Arenas Getxo 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Cacereño and 1.1 for Lugo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cacereño 36%, draw 25%, Lugo 38%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cacereño 0–1 Lugo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cacereño36%fair 2.75 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Lugo38%fair 2.60 · @2.70
2.09Expected goals
1.02Cacereño xG
1.07Lugo xG
42%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Cacereño 1.0 – 1.1 Lugo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lugo to win✓
38%
2.60
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.59
–
Form
Cacereño – last 2
DL
15 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Mérida AD
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lugo – last 3
DWW
22 Mar
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Athletic Club II
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Guadalajara
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cacereño and Lugo.
Our pick is Either team to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cacereño vs Lugo?
On our numbers Cacereño have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lugo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Cacereño vs Lugo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cacereño vs Lugo?
Our predicted score is Cacereño 0–1 Lugo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cacereño vs Lugo?
Cacereño vs Lugo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Principe Felipe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Celta de Vigo II2
Ourense CF0