Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 1 sees Unionistas de Salamanca take on Barakaldo on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Reina Sofia. Unionistas de Salamanca are 15th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Barakaldo sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Barakaldo's last 4: WLWD Most recently they beat Ourense CF 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Unionistas de Salamanca and 1.2 for Barakaldo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Unionistas de Salamanca 39%, draw 26%, Barakaldo 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Unionistas de Salamanca 1–1 Barakaldo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Unionistas de Salamanca39%fair 2.53 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.75
Barakaldo35%fair 2.89 · @2.90
2.48Expected goals
1.29Unionistas de Salamanca xG
1.19Barakaldo xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Unionistas de Salamanca 1.3 – 1.2 Barakaldo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Unionistas de Salamanca to win✗
39%
2.53
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Unionistas de Salamanca / FT Unionistas de Salamanca✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.25
–
Form
Unionistas de Salamanca – last 2
DW
8 Mar
@ Pontevedra
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Osasuna II
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Barakaldo – last 4
WLWD
8 Mar
vs Ourense CF
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Arenas Getxo
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Osasuna II
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Zamora
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Unionistas de Salamanca and Barakaldo.
What is the prediction for Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo?
On our numbers Unionistas de Salamanca have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Barakaldo 35%.
How many goals will there be in Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo?
Our predicted score is Unionistas de Salamanca 1–1 Barakaldo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo?
Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Reina Sofia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Osasuna II0