Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarakaldo to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.78
Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 1 sees Arenas Getxo take on Barakaldo on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Fadura. Arenas Getxo are 19th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Barakaldo sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Arenas Getxo and 1.3 for Barakaldo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Arenas Getxo 1–1 Barakaldo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arenas Getxo31%fair 3.22 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Barakaldo46%fair 2.16 · @2.15
2.33Expected goals
1.01Arenas Getxo xG
1.32Barakaldo xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Arenas Getxo 1.0 – 1.3 Barakaldo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barakaldo to win✗
46%
2.16
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.78
–
Form
Arenas Getxo
No recent results on record.
Barakaldo – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Osasuna II
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Zamora
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arenas Getxo and Barakaldo.
What is the prediction for Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo?
On our numbers Arenas Getxo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barakaldo 46%.
How many goals will there be in Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo?
Our predicted score is Arenas Getxo 1–1 Barakaldo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo?
Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Fadura.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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