Barakaldo host Osasuna II in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Campo de Lasesarre.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Barakaldo and 0.6 for Osasuna II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barakaldo 62%, draw 26%, Osasuna II 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Barakaldo 1–0 Osasuna II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barakaldo62%fair 1.61 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.45
Osasuna II12%fair 8.06 · @5.60
2.36Expected goals
1.71Barakaldo xG
0.65Osasuna II xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Barakaldo 1.7 – 0.6 Osasuna II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barakaldo to win✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Double chance
Barakaldo or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Barakaldo ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.18
–
Form
Barakaldo – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Zamora
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Osasuna II – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barakaldo and Osasuna II.
What is the prediction for Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?
On our numbers Barakaldo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Osasuna II 12%.
How many goals will there be in Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?
Our predicted score is Barakaldo 1–0 Osasuna II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barakaldo vs Osasuna II?
Barakaldo vs Osasuna II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Lasesarre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
