Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlgeciras to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Algeciras vs Ibiza preview and prediction
The match
Algeciras host Ibiza in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador. Algeciras are 13th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Ibiza sit 6th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Algeciras's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Europa Fc 3–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ibiza's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Eldense 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Algeciras and 1.0 for Ibiza. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Algeciras 40%, draw 25%, Ibiza 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Algeciras 1–1 Ibiza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Algeciras40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
Ibiza35%fair 2.90 · @2.88
2.14Expected goals
1.13Algeciras xG
1.02Ibiza xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Algeciras 1.1 – 1.0 Ibiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeciras to win✗
40%
2.50
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Algeciras / FT Algeciras✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.58
–
Form
Algeciras – last 6
WWDLDL
28 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs Gimnastic
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Alcorcon
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Antequera
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Teruel
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Marbella
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ibiza – last 5
LLWLW
22 Mar
@ Eldense
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Marbella
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Tarazona
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Teruel
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeciras and Ibiza.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Algeciras vs Ibiza?
On our numbers Algeciras have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ibiza 35%.
How many goals will there be in Algeciras vs Ibiza?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algeciras vs Ibiza?
Our predicted score is Algeciras 1–1 Ibiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Algeciras vs Ibiza?
Algeciras vs Ibiza (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sabadell1
Real Betis II3