Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020% · fair 4.92
Real Murcia vs Tarazona preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 2 sees Real Murcia take on Tarazona on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio Enrique Roca.
Form guide
Real Murcia's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Hércules 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Tarazona's last 4: LDLW Most recently they lost to Atlético Madrid II 1–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tarazona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Real Murcia and 0.5 for Tarazona. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Murcia 63%, draw 21%, Tarazona 16%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Murcia to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Murcia 1–0 Tarazona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Murcia63%fair 1.58 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.20
Tarazona16%fair 6.35 · @5.40
1.97Expected goals
1.46Real Murcia xG
0.51Tarazona xG
46%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.5 – 0.5 Tarazona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia to win
63%
1.58
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Real Murcia or draw
84%
1.19
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
20%
4.92
–
Form
Real Murcia – last 5
LDLLL
15 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Marbella
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Sanluqueño
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FC Cartagena
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Alcorcon
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Tarazona – last 4
LDLW
15 Mar
vs Atlético Madrid II
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs FC Cartagena
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Ibiza
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and Tarazona.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs Tarazona?
Our pick is Real Murcia to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Tarazona?
On our numbers Real Murcia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tarazona 16%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Tarazona?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs Tarazona?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia 1–0 Tarazona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia vs Tarazona?
Real Murcia vs Tarazona (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Eldense3
Marbella3
Sevilla Atletico0