Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEldense to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Eldense vs Ibiza preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 2 sees Eldense take on Ibiza on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Form guide
Ibiza's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Marbella 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Eldense and 1.0 for Ibiza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eldense 44%, draw 23%, Ibiza 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 55% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Eldense 1–0 Ibiza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eldense44%fair 2.26 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Ibiza32%fair 3.08 · @3.20
2.23Expected goals
1.23Eldense xG
1.00Ibiza xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Eldense 1.2 – 1.0 Ibiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eldense to win✓
44%
2.26
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eldense / FT Eldense✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Eldense – last 2
LD
4 Mar
@ Villarreal II
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Alcorcon
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ibiza – last 4
LWLW
15 Mar
vs Marbella
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Tarazona
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Teruel
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eldense and Ibiza.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Eldense vs Ibiza?
On our numbers Eldense have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ibiza 32%.
How many goals will there be in Eldense vs Ibiza?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eldense vs Ibiza?
Our predicted score is Eldense 1–0 Ibiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Eldense vs Ibiza?
Eldense vs Ibiza (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marbella3
Sevilla Atletico0
Tarazona