Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Murcia to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✗86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.88
Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 2 sees Real Murcia take on FC Cartagena on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 18:15 (WAT) at Estadio Enrique Roca. Real Murcia are 3rd with 20 points from 11 games (in the top four), while FC Cartagena sit 8th on 16 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Real Murcia and 0.5 for FC Cartagena. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Murcia 63%, draw 22%, FC Cartagena 14%.
Safer route: Real Murcia or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Murcia to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Murcia 1–0 FC Cartagena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Murcia63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @2.80
FC Cartagena14%fair 6.96 · @4.20
1.98Expected goals
1.48Real Murcia xG
0.50FC Cartagena xG
44%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.5 – 0.5 FC Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia to win✗
63%
1.58
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Real Murcia or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.88
–
Form
Real Murcia – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Alcorcon
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FC Cartagena – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Marbella
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and FC Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena?
Our pick is Real Murcia to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena?
On our numbers Real Murcia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Cartagena 14%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia 1–0 FC Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena?
Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marbella4
Sabadell2
Sanluqueño0
Eldense2